A Level Further Mathematics 9231 Paper 43, May/June 2024

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Question paper

9231/43 · May/June 2024

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1

A college uses two assessments, X and Y, when interviewing applicants for research posts at the college. These assessments have been used for a large number of applicants this year. The scores for a random sample of 9 applicants who took assessment X are as follows. 21.424.625.322.720.821.522.921.322.3 The scores for a random sample of 10 applicants who took assessment Y are as follows. 20.923.524.821.923.424.023.824.125.125.8 The interviewer believes that the population median score from assessment X is lower than the population median score from assessment Y. Carry out a Wilcoxon rank-sum test, at the 1% significance level, to test whether the interviewer's belief is supported by the data.

[7]
2

A rowing club has a large number of members. A random sample of 12 of these members is taken and the pulse rate, x beats per minute (bpm), of each is measured after a 30-minute training session. A 98% confidence interval for the population mean pulse rate, μ bpm, is calculated from the sample as 64.22<μ<68.66.

a

Find the values of Σx and Σx2.

[6]
b

State an assumption that is necessary for the confidence interval to be valid.

[1]
3

There are three bus companies in a city. The council is investigating whether the buses reliably arrive at their destination on time. The results from random samples of buses from each company are summarised in the following table.

Bus company
ABCTotal
ArrivalEarly22221054
On time305242124
Late28261872
Total8010070250

Test, at the 5% significance level, whether the reliability of buses is independent of bus company.

[7]
4

The random variable X has probability generating function GX(t) given by GX(t)=ct(1+t)5, where c is a constant.

a

Find the value of c.

[1]
b

Find the value of E(X).

[2]
c

The random variable Y is the sum of two independent values of X. Write down the probability generating function of Y and hence find Var⁡(Y).

[4]
d

Find P(Y=5).

[2]
5

The continuous random variable X has cumulative distribution function F given by F(x)={0x<2,(x−2)2122⩽x<4,1−(8−x)2244⩽x⩽8,1x>8.

a

Sketch the graph of the probability density function of X.

[3]
b

Find E(X).

[3]
c

Find the exact value of the interquartile range of X.

[4]
6

Seva is investigating the lengths of the tails of adult wallabies in two regions of Australia, X and Y. He chooses a random sample of 50 adult wallabies from region X and records the lengths, x cm, of their tails. He also chooses a random sample of 40 adult wallabies from region Y and records the lengths, y cm, of their tails. His results are summarised as follows. Σx=1080Σx2=23 480Σy=940Σy2=22 220 It cannot be assumed that the population variances of the two distributions are the same.

a

Find a 90% confidence interval for the difference between the population mean lengths of the tails of adult wallabies in regions X and Y.

[6]
b

The population mean lengths of the tails of adult wallabies in regions X and Y are μX cm and μY cm respectively. Test, at the 10% significance level, the null hypothesis μY−μX=1.1 against the alternative hypothesis μY−μX>1.1. State your conclusion in the context of the question.

[4]

Mark scheme

9231/43 · May/June 2024

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1 · 7 marks

  • M1

    Attempt at ranking from 1 to 19.

  • A1

    all correct.

  • A1

    Test statistic: 70

  • B1

    H0: population median of X= population median of Y H1: population median of X< population median of Y

  • B1

    Critical value for m=9,n=10 is 61

  • M1

    ‘70’ > ‘61’ accept H0

  • A1

    Insufficient evidence to suggest that population medians of X and Y are not equal or Insufficient evidence to suggest that population median of X is less than median of Y or Insufficient evidence to support the interviewer’s belief

2a · 6 marks

  • M1

    xˉ=12(68.66+64.22)=66.44

  • A1

    ∑x=12×66.44=797.28

  • M1

    ts12=12(68.66−64.22)

  • A1

    With t=2.718 gives s2=8.0055

  • M1

    Use s2=111(∑x2−(∑x)212) to find an expression for ∑x2

  • A1

    ∑x2=53059

2b · 1 mark

  • B1

    Population is normally distributed

3 · 7 marks

  • M1

    Calculate expected values, at least 4 correct to 3sf. These must be seen.

  • A1

    all correct to at least 3sf.

  • M1

    At least 4 correct values (to 2sf) or expressions.

  • A1

    Test statistic = 8.61

  • B1

    H0: Reliability of buses is independent of bus company H1: Reliability of buses is not independent of/dependent on bus company

  • M1

    ‘8.61’ < 9.488 Accept H0

  • A1

    There is insufficient evidence to support/ suggest that reliability of buses is dependent/not independent of bus company

4a · 1 mark

  • B1

    c=132

4b · 2 marks

  • M1

    GX(t)=ct(1+t)5, GX′(t)=c(5t(1+t)4+(1+t)5)

  • A1

    E(X)=GX′(1)=c(80+32)=3.5

4c · 4 marks

  • M1

    GY(t)=c2t2(1+t)10

  • 1 mark

    GY′(t)=c2(10t2(1+t)9+2t(1+t)10) GY′′(t)=c2(90t2(1+t)8+40t(1+t)9+2(1+t)10)

  • M1

    Use correct formula and substitute values for t=1 (may be in terms of c).

  • A1

    GY′(1)=7,GY′′(1)=44.5 Var(Y)=GY′′(1)+GY′(1)−(GY′(1))2=2.5

4d · 2 marks

  • M1

    P(Y=5)=coefficient of t5 in expansion of their c2t2(1+t)10 Required term is c2×120 Expansion = c2t2(1+10t+45t2+120t3+… )

  • A1

    15128

5a · 3 marks

  • M1

    Attempt at differentiating both parts of CDF to obtain linear expressions.

  • A1

    Correct shape (Two line segments touch the x-axis and meet at a point above the x-axis).

  • A1

    Correct shape with 2 and 8 and at least one of 4 or 1/3 correctly labelled.

5b · 3 marks

  • B1

    ∫2416x(x−2)dx+∫48112x(8−x)dx

  • M1

    16[13x3−x2]+112[4x2−13x3]

  • A1

    143

5c · 4 marks

  • B1

    LQ: 112(x−2)2=14, x=2+3

  • B1

    UQ: 1−(8−x)224=34, x=8−6

  • M1

    IQR = UQ – LQ, with values found for both quartiles

  • A1

    6−6−3

6a · 6 marks

  • M1

    sx2=149(23480−1080250)(=3.102) sy2=139(22220−940240)(=3.333)

  • M1

    s2=3.10250+3.33340(=0.1454)

  • A1

    s2=213714700=0.1454

  • M1

    CI: 108050−94040±1.645s2 or 94040−108050±1.645s2

  • B1

    1.645 (accept 1.64 or 1.65) used in CI formula.

  • A1

    [1.27,2.53] or [−2.53,−1.27]

6b · 4 marks

  • M1

    z=1.9−1.1s

  • A1

    2.098

  • M1

    ‘2.098’ > 1.28(2) Reject H0 or Φ(2.098)=0.9821>0.9 Reject H0 or 1−Φ(2.098)=0.0179<0.1 Reject H0

  • A1

    Sufficient evidence to suggest that the lengths of tails of wallabies in region Y are, on average, more than 1.1 cm longer than the tails of wallabies in region X

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